Our Free one for today in NBA is Toronto -8 – home favorite with less than 40% of the bets on them….
-Toronto is 58-125 SU in the last three seasons so nobody ever really likes to bet them….especially when they are getting a ton of points.
-But wait; in those same three seasons, a team that seems to never win is 20-16-1 (55.6%) ATS as home favorites.
-That’s 13-8 ATS in the last two seasons. Not a great record, but it explains why this bet has more value than meets the eye.
Add to that: The Charlotte Bobcats are only 9-26 ATS (4-31 SU -14.6 ppg) after losing as home dogs.