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3-0 Sweep Today

Game Result Status Pick Amount
Minnesota WINNER! 4:08 PM ET Over 8 1.20
Detroit -
San Diego WINNER! 4:10 PM ET Under 7.5 1.20
NY Mets -
Washington WINNER! 7:15 PM ET St. Louis +124 1.20
St. Louis -
***Raw number totals are 71-34 +35.3 units.
Strong overs are 5-1 +3.95 units and Regular Unders are 23-7 +15.65 units.
Interesting set up in St. Louis.
*SYSTEM: Since  2009, Home plus .500 dogs facing a plus .500 team seeking revenge for a shut out are 32-18 (+19.75 units, +39.5% roi) SU.
The public loves betting for revenge to occur in baseball, and they usually will double up on it or something. The books love letting them think that they have a 99.9% win record on martingale savoring the one little screw up that loses them their whole roll. Maybe you know the betting systems I’m talking about….be on the opposite side of that stuff at all times.
Sharp money clearly on the Cardinals as well.
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Another Winner…

Game Score Status Pick Amount
NY Mets 11 7:05 PM ET NY Mets -1 +126 1.25
Philadelphia 2    (Top Play)
Bartolo Colon is 15-4 SU (+14.17 units, +73% roi) on the road since 2012 in night games.
The Mets are 61-57 (56.8%, +24.28 units, +19.1 roi) SU under Terry Collins on the road vs. sub .500 opponents.
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Stay Tuned and Watch Us Plow

Reaching a pinnacle of achievement that no other paid capping service can come close to claiming: 2k effective (1-5 range) units….winning exactly 100% of our YEARS (yes, years, not months, weeks or seasons…we’ve been here for YEARS with a Y and quite a few of them).

Forget what you’ve heard — the sharp bookie killers from the past from the 80′s, the hot insider sharps with connections of the present — we’re doing the good ole fashioned conservative investor grind and documenting it. We don’t claim that anybody hasn’t ever done this before, but as PRETTY GOOD handicappers go that sell their sports picks (the incredibly good ones obviously don’t need to have a service like this granted).

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The Insanity Continues…

Game Result Status Pick Amount
NY Mets Winner! 1:35 PM ET NY Mets +121 1.00
Philadelphia -
Baltimore Winner! 2:10 PM ET Baltimore -111 1.00
Houston -
The Mets go off soon. Short email today for timeliness sake. These are two quality raw number wagers.
Best of luck!

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No time to rest on our laurels though. Subscribe today for more winners as we strive to reach the Pinnacle that no other handicapper has acheived: 2000 effective units! We’re close!

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Awesome End to the Month +612.41 Units

Game Result Status Pick Amount
NY Mets Winner! 3:05 PM ET NY Mets +102 1.25
Philadelphia -
Baltimore Winner! 4:10 PM ET Baltimore +116 1.00
Houston -
Top play:
***Under Terry Collins, the Mets are 42-29 (59.2%, +24.3 units, +32.6% roi) SU on the road off of a 1 or 2 run loss.
I wouldn’t go too big on this one because it looks like some of the value got away from us. Public moved the line, but the books aren’t making the Mets favorites yet so I like it still, but not as much as back at +115.
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Another Sweep

Game Score Status Pick Amount
Pittsburgh WINNER! 1:10 PM ET Pittsburgh -1 +121 1.50
NY Mets -    (Top Play)
Miami WINNER! 1:35 PM ET Miami +122 1.00
Washington -
***Since 2013, the Mets are just 22-45 -28.69 units at home after allowing 4 runs or less.
That’s 12-23 (34.3%, -15.54, +32.5% to fade) SU after allowing 2 runs or less.
***The Pirates are 50-28 (64.1%, +21.22 units, +22.7% roi) SU since 2013 after scoring 2 runs or fewer last game.
Perfect set up.
Regular one on Miami.
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Unique 3-0-1 Day With Writeups…

Game Result Status Pick Amount
Oakland WINNER! 1:07 PM ET Under 9.5 1.20
Toronto -
Arizona PUSH 1:10 PM ET Arizona -1 +122 1.00
NY Mets -
Houston WINNER! 4:10 PM ET Houston +130 1.20
Seattle -

Three excellent raw number plays.

Some sharper money coming in on Houston with less of the public bet percents and a little comedown from +135 to +130.
**Since 2013, the Seattle Mariners are a nasty 13-24 (35.1%, -22.39 units, +53.9% roi to fade) SU as home favorites between -125 and -175.
*Career JA Happ is 27-13-1 UNDER the total at home where the line is between 8 and 10.
**That’s 9-0  in the last two seasons.
 
The value for today seems to clearly be with OKC as the team favored by the raw numbers and getting less than 35% of the public spread bets as playoff home dogs.
The matchup is incredibly marquee though; take OKC though if you play anything in this matchup.
Value on Montreal. Might be good for a small play, but passing.
 
WNBA:
Game Score Status Pick Amount
Indiana WINNER! 6:00 PM ET Indiana +8 1.00
Atlanta -
Less than 15% of the bets are on Indiana right now.
*Atlanta is just 4-15 ATS after 1+ straight loss since 2013.
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1-0 Yesterday +600.69 units

Game Score Status Pick Amount
NY Yankees 4 2:20 PM ET NY Yankees +103 1.00
Chi. Cubs 2    WINNER!
The Yankees are a play.
The Cubs look pretty good after taking down Tanaka and now the public is all over the sub .500 team facing a 23-21 team as favorites??
This is all wrong. Plus, since 2004, the Cubs are 417-418 -118.49 units SU at home! The worst home record in the league.
Go Yanks.
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5.18.2014 Selections – Broke 600% Yesterday!

Alright. +601 units. That’s a lot if you haven’t heard. I have something to say that one of my dear friends Mr. Lance said to me once:

It was something along the lines of: hey when you go hot you gotta stop going on losing streaks right after.
He’s right. I don’t know why it happens, but I usually have a nice down after I just shot up (not that we’ve ‘shot up’ particularly hard right now). So anyways, I will keep on giving out picks as usual, but I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: when you’re up and happy with what you’ve made, don’t mess with fire. Do what you can to lock in profit. A strategy I like is to simply quit the season. But we’re not going to do that. That is only if it is late in the season so the other thing you can do, other than just pass more liberally is to drop your base unit back 20% (so like from 1 unit to 0.8 units) until equilibrium has had its way. On the other hand, if you think that idea is phooey; well then keep on betting; after all, that would be the most logical thing to do. Just some thoughts for you all on your own money management…

Game Score Status Pick Amount
Atlanta - 2:15 PM ET St. Louis -1 +139 1.00
St. Louis -    (Top Play)
Isn’t there a compelling urge to take every play on the board after you’ve been right for so long? Let’s just take STL today, it is our number 1 sure fire bet for today worth up to 2 units fyi.
***Under Mike Matheny, the Cardinals are 25-6 +16.44 units SU and 23-8 (74.2%, +24.62 units, +75.6% roi) on the runline with a well rested bullpen at home.
 
From yesterday: “Looking like we’ll definitely be laying off of Miami with the vast majority of the public bets piling on there. Remember: Miami is just like Indiana (arguably); they’ve both had incredibly easy schedules to get into the playoffs. Each team should be considered about equal so the value might be in the home dog at this point.”
Confirming that: smart money is definitely on Indiana now. Public has been hitting Miami and the line came back from a high of -3 to -2 for Miami. Looks easy right? Wrong. Take the Pacers or pass.
I don’t really want to touch it, but there is a ton of value on the Kings for +140?? That’s way too much credit to the Hawks. Remember: the Kings are a toughened team having faced the second most difficult SOS in NHL this season. The Under looks good. I would take them for a Unit a piece if you want to. Kings +140 and the Under. Strong leans.
 
Good luck,
Tom
 
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=== CURRENT RECORDS ===
(Last Update 5.18.2014)
NBA 2014: 78-66-1 +11.90 Units

MLB 2014: 72-67-5 +16.37 Units
NFL 2013: 54-24-1 +41.52 units
NHL 2013: 122-119-7 +14.71 units
RECORDS SINCE APR. 2010:
3541-3133-159 +601.65 Units
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3-1 Day +598.93 Units Now…

Game Result Status Pick Amount
Detroit WINNER! 7:05 PM ET Under 8.5 1.00
Baltimore -
LA Angels LOST 7:05 PM ET Over 7.5 1.00
Philadelphia -
Atlanta WINNER! 10:15 PM ET Under 7 1.00
San Francisco -
*Raw number totals are 55-26 +27.7 units this season*
Blue Jays, Royals, and Phillies come closest today for sides but we’re passing.
Game Score Status Pick Amount
Washington WINNER! 7:00 PM ET Washington +5.5 1.00
Indiana -
*Under Randy Wittman, the Wizards are 39-19-2 (67.2%) ATS on the road with a fairly good amount of rest.
-Public is all over Indiana here; raw numbers heavy on Wizards.
Value actually seems to be on the Blackhawks here as the public is packing up on Minnesota to tie the series. Maybe people are finally coming to terms with the idea that they are contending. We have raw numbers on Minnesota again and don’t forget they are the #2 SOS in the league. Laying off this matchup and the other one as well in NHL today.
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