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Unique 3-0-1 Day With Writeups…

Game Result Status Pick Amount
Oakland WINNER! 1:07 PM ET Under 9.5 1.20
Toronto -
Arizona PUSH 1:10 PM ET Arizona -1 +122 1.00
NY Mets -
Houston WINNER! 4:10 PM ET Houston +130 1.20
Seattle -

Three excellent raw number plays.

Some sharper money coming in on Houston with less of the public bet percents and a little comedown from +135 to +130.
**Since 2013, the Seattle Mariners are a nasty 13-24 (35.1%, -22.39 units, +53.9% roi to fade) SU as home favorites between -125 and -175.
*Career JA Happ is 27-13-1 UNDER the total at home where the line is between 8 and 10.
**That’s 9-0  in the last two seasons.
The value for today seems to clearly be with OKC as the team favored by the raw numbers and getting less than 35% of the public spread bets as playoff home dogs.
The matchup is incredibly marquee though; take OKC though if you play anything in this matchup.
Value on Montreal. Might be good for a small play, but passing.
Game Score Status Pick Amount
Indiana WINNER! 6:00 PM ET Indiana +8 1.00
Atlanta -
Less than 15% of the bets are on Indiana right now.
*Atlanta is just 4-15 ATS after 1+ straight loss since 2013.
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1-0 Yesterday +600.69 units

Game Score Status Pick Amount
NY Yankees 4 2:20 PM ET NY Yankees +103 1.00
Chi. Cubs 2    WINNER!
The Yankees are a play.
The Cubs look pretty good after taking down Tanaka and now the public is all over the sub .500 team facing a 23-21 team as favorites??
This is all wrong. Plus, since 2004, the Cubs are 417-418 -118.49 units SU at home! The worst home record in the league.
Go Yanks.
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5.18.2014 Selections – Broke 600% Yesterday!

Alright. +601 units. That’s a lot if you haven’t heard. I have something to say that one of my dear friends Mr. Lance said to me once:

It was something along the lines of: hey when you go hot you gotta stop going on losing streaks right after.
He’s right. I don’t know why it happens, but I usually have a nice down after I just shot up (not that we’ve ‘shot up’ particularly hard right now). So anyways, I will keep on giving out picks as usual, but I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: when you’re up and happy with what you’ve made, don’t mess with fire. Do what you can to lock in profit. A strategy I like is to simply quit the season. But we’re not going to do that. That is only if it is late in the season so the other thing you can do, other than just pass more liberally is to drop your base unit back 20% (so like from 1 unit to 0.8 units) until equilibrium has had its way. On the other hand, if you think that idea is phooey; well then keep on betting; after all, that would be the most logical thing to do. Just some thoughts for you all on your own money management…

Game Score Status Pick Amount
Atlanta - 2:15 PM ET St. Louis -1 +139 1.00
St. Louis -    (Top Play)
Isn’t there a compelling urge to take every play on the board after you’ve been right for so long? Let’s just take STL today, it is our number 1 sure fire bet for today worth up to 2 units fyi.
***Under Mike Matheny, the Cardinals are 25-6 +16.44 units SU and 23-8 (74.2%, +24.62 units, +75.6% roi) on the runline with a well rested bullpen at home.
From yesterday: “Looking like we’ll definitely be laying off of Miami with the vast majority of the public bets piling on there. Remember: Miami is just like Indiana (arguably); they’ve both had incredibly easy schedules to get into the playoffs. Each team should be considered about equal so the value might be in the home dog at this point.”
Confirming that: smart money is definitely on Indiana now. Public has been hitting Miami and the line came back from a high of -3 to -2 for Miami. Looks easy right? Wrong. Take the Pacers or pass.
I don’t really want to touch it, but there is a ton of value on the Kings for +140?? That’s way too much credit to the Hawks. Remember: the Kings are a toughened team having faced the second most difficult SOS in NHL this season. The Under looks good. I would take them for a Unit a piece if you want to. Kings +140 and the Under. Strong leans.
Good luck,
(Last Update 5.18.2014)
NBA 2014: 78-66-1 +11.90 Units

MLB 2014: 72-67-5 +16.37 Units
NFL 2013: 54-24-1 +41.52 units
NHL 2013: 122-119-7 +14.71 units
3541-3133-159 +601.65 Units
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3-1 Day +598.93 Units Now…

Game Result Status Pick Amount
Detroit WINNER! 7:05 PM ET Under 8.5 1.00
Baltimore -
LA Angels LOST 7:05 PM ET Over 7.5 1.00
Philadelphia -
Atlanta WINNER! 10:15 PM ET Under 7 1.00
San Francisco -
*Raw number totals are 55-26 +27.7 units this season*
Blue Jays, Royals, and Phillies come closest today for sides but we’re passing.
Game Score Status Pick Amount
Washington WINNER! 7:00 PM ET Washington +5.5 1.00
Indiana -
*Under Randy Wittman, the Wizards are 39-19-2 (67.2%) ATS on the road with a fairly good amount of rest.
-Public is all over Indiana here; raw numbers heavy on Wizards.
Value actually seems to be on the Blackhawks here as the public is packing up on Minnesota to tie the series. Maybe people are finally coming to terms with the idea that they are contending. We have raw numbers on Minnesota again and don’t forget they are the #2 SOS in the league. Laying off this matchup and the other one as well in NHL today.
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Free Winning NHL Playoff System

Game Result Status Pick Amount
Chicago WINNER! 9:00 PM ET Minnesota +1 -131 1.50
Minnesota WINNER! Under 5 1.00
SYSTEM FOR TOP PLAY MINNESOTA: Since 2009, Home teams off of 3+ straight games allowing 3 goals or more facing a team off 3+ with 4 goals or more are 34-13 (72.3%, +24.08% roi, +41.7% roi) SU.***The Minnesota Wild have had the second most difficult Strength of Schedule in the NHL. Value time!
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New Testimonial: ‘Huge Roi…’

I paid $29.99 for a month of the service and in my first day I made $106.75 doing $25 bets. I thought that I bet small, but the roi here is so huge the cost of the service is completely negligible. This service is worth every penny! -Steve

To read more reviews go here:

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3-0 MLB Sweep 4.24.2014

Game Result Status Pick Amount
Chi. White Sox WINNER! 1:08 PM ET Over 7.5 1.00
Detroit -
San Diego WINNER! 7:05 PM ET San Diego +153 1.00
Washington -
Baltimore WINNER! 7:07 PM ET Baltimore +124 1.00
Toronto -
Regular raw number total plays with some filtering. Wind is pointed in towards outfield heavier than yesterday in Chicago so I’m laying off that one. Consider the Over actually.
*All totals are 36-15 +20.25 units so far this season. Damn I wish that is all I was playing….can’t look at it that way though; we’ve had starts where the totals were break even or below in the crazy month of April.
April dog system: 729-681 (51.7%, +244.51 units) SU - Orioles, Phillies, Mets, Padres, Pirates, Twins, Yankees.
Of those, taking the Padres and Orioles….Pittsburgh came close…


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Perfect MLB Sweep

Game Result Status Pick Amount
LA Angels WINNER! 7:08 PM ET LA Angels +102 1.00
Detroit -
Atlanta WINNER! 7:10 PM ET Atlanta -104 2.00
NY Mets -    (TOP PLAY)
Seattle WINNER! 7:10 PM ET Over 7.5 1.25
Miami -
In NY:
Big classic let down spot for the Mets here:
***The New York Mets are 6-24 (20%, -23.84 units, +62.3% roi to fade) SU under Terry Collins at home off of six or more straight road games.
*That’s 1-14 as favorites which they may or may not be here. +119.5% roi to fade.
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NHL Playoff Top Play Write-Up

Raw numbers for the next two days uploaded; however, I am passing on the top lean.
We come close to taking LA and San Jose Under, but I would personally like to pass as around 95% of the public bets want the under as well and it is lined 4.5
*The OVER is 17-8 in playoff games where the total is 4.5
I do however see value on one side of this matchup on the -1 puckline: San Jose.

Thursday, April 17

Game Score Status Pick Amount
Los Angeles 3 10:30 PM ET San Jose -1 +148 2.00
San Jose 6    (Top Play)


Over 90% of the puckline bets are taking LA +1.5 here. People tend to believe that a lower scoring game correlates very well with a dog covering when history shows little to no value in this theory. I haven’t looked into this game deeply and I won’t because the raw numbers have the edge and we’re fading the public’s unresearched angle.
*The Sharks are 30-14 +13.8 units, +22.6% roi SU this season vs. plus .500 teams.
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Top Play Winner Oakland Write-Up

Game Score Status Pick Amount
 Oakland 10 7:05 PM ET Oakland +100 2.00
 LA Angels 9    (TOP PLAY)


*System: Since 2004, underdogs in April facing a plus .400 teams off of a game where they didn’t win by more than 2 (or lost) and didn’t get shut out are 962-1078 (+168.27 units) SU.
(Oakland, Dodgers, Marlins, Rockies, Indians, Twins, Cubs)

I’ve filtered that system down a bit to a 537-447 (+230.86 units) SU variation which is yielding the (Oakland, Dodgers, Marlins, Rockies, IndiansTwins and Cubs).

From there, I am filtering out the Rockies automatically because of raw numbers edges going against them.
*Also filtering out a play on the Dodgers as Tim Lincecum is 21-11 (65.6%) SU in the first months of the game career.
In LA: (Top Play):
**The Athletics are 119-87 (57.8%, +32.42 units) SU under Bob Melvin when the bullpen is hot (averaging <1 BPRA L5).
**They’re also 80-55 (+32.11 units, +21% roi) SU under Melvin after four plus games on the road.
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