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Articles: Betting NFL and NCAAF…
Underdogs in the NFL and College Football – Big difference! Against The Spread Trends (ATS) – 2011 Season to Date (Covers.com) Category Record Percent Away Teams 369-375-9 49.60% Home Teams 375-369-9 50.40% Favorites 360-384-9 48.39% Dogs 384-360-9 51.61% Away Favorites 108-123-3 46.75% Away Dogs 261-252-6 50.88% Home Favorites 252-261-6 49.12% Home Dogs 123-108-3 53.25% 2004–present – Controversy and discovered loophole… In response to the controversy created by…
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MNF: Bears +9 Win SU 30-24 over Eagles
FROM SUNDAY… #413 MIAMI DOLPHINS +4 (2.5 units) WINNER! +2.5 over the Kansas City Chiefs The Dolphins look terrible to most, but Kansas City shouldn't be favorited to any team! Miami may have a bad record, but the play hard and want the win here. Their schedule has been a little bit more difficult than the Chiefs. I've got them to squeak by a win here or keep it…
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Early Selections Results 3-3-1 +1.25 units
RESULTS OF EARLY SELECTIONS: (Sent November 3rd) =============================================== NCAAF Week 10: November 2-5 PART I EARLY SELECTIONS Thoughts: If you like the favorite, get it fast. If you like the dog wait. That's usually how it goes…and all the while, be aware of key numbers to snuff out traps and such. I have here my key numbers for CFB (I've posted this before…and remember that they…
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2 Winners to kick off the weekend! +2.5% Blowout winners.
THURSDAY: Rice +27 @ Houston (OU 71) PLAYING Raw: Houston covers by +5.5 points Projected Total: 73.66 points (PLAY THE OVER) #108 Houston -27.5 (1.5 units) WINNER! over Rice Houston is worth the lumber here, and this will probably go over that huge total as well. Note: if you tease anything, fyi 65 is a somewhat key you could get under there. I like the side better on this…
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NCAAF Winner Friday Night +2.5%
#308 Louisville +1 (2.5 units) WINNER! over Rutgers Greg Schiano and his Rutgers Scarlet Knights are now 5-1 off of 3 straight wins, the last two were at home. The Knights barely pulled the win over Navy (21-20). Louisville is off of 3 straight losses here, the last two on the road. Who would want to back Louisville here? 80% of the bets are on Rutgers here; I love that. Greg…
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World Series Game 1 – STL v. TEX 2-0 +3.5%
Texas v. St. Louis Under: This weather is crazy. I like the under, and I actually like a little bit on STL here. For what it's worth, I'm not too far from St. Louis; it's windy enough to knock the wires around and real chilly here right now. Its my opinion that this one turns into a pitcher's duel. I played baseball at one point, and I…
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NCAAF Week 8 Part 1 – Arkansas State v. Florida International +2 Units
#302 Arkansas State -2.5 (2 units) WINNER! over Florida International Arkansas State is 4-1 SU and 4-1 SU winning by an average of 21.4 points while Hugh Freeze has been around. They've had a tougher schedule here than Florida Int.; I like them as small home favorites. Florida International is only 9-15 ATS under Mario Cristobal and 3-21 SU losing by an average -21 points. My raw numbers project…
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Free Play – MNF Teaser (Detroit/Chicago)
(1 unit) 6 Pt. Teaser with: #430 Detroit Lions -0.5 (from the -6.5 spread) DET Lions | CHI Bears UNDER 53 (from the 47 game total) WINNER! The pick for tonight is Detroit. After the win against Carolina, the Bears might come into this one prepared; maybe they'll be okay with the loss after breaking a losing streak. Since 2005, the Lions are 2-10 against the Bears. Since that same…
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Current Football Run: +$3,545.00 42-17 ATS
Since Saturday (NCAAF Week Four) September 24th, we're 42-17 ATS (71.2%) +$3,545.00 (+35.45 units) in NFL and NCAAF. Here is broken down: NFL WEEK THREE: 7-5 +$20.00 (58.3%) == NCAAF WEEK FIVE: 13-5 +$1,345.00 (72%) == NFL WEEK THREE: 9-2 +$1,175.00 (82%) == NCAAF WEEK FOUR: 13-5 +$1,005.00 (72%)
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Another 13-5 NCAAF Weekend! (+13.45 units)
Here's what I'm taking for Week Five: ================ #189 Kentucky +30.5 (3 units) WINNER! over LSU This is too many point to give LSU. Kentucky is 3-1 ATS as a double digit dog since 1990 when playing LSU. The SEC has done well and double digit dogs on the road. Have a look at who else has done well there: line>=10 and conference and site and season (Note: remove "season" or define…
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An MLB Base System – April Division Away Dogs
Here's a nice trick, and complementary Sdql link… Since 2004, Away Division Dogs off of a win in the first month of MLB with +170 to +110 (inclusive) odds are SU (straight up): 190-195 (49.35%) +$6,082 (that's +15.8% roi on a 385 game sample). That means about 55 games a year or 1.83 games per day in the month of April. You have a lot to work…
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A 24-7-1 (77%) +22.25 Unit Football Weekend
The 9/23 – 9/26 Football Weekend went: 24-7-0 ATS (77%) +22.25 UNITS In NFL we went: 9-2-1 ATS 81.8% for +11.75 units Here's what we had: ============ #424 Indianapolis Colts +10 (1.5 units) WINNER! +1.5 over the Steelers "All the way up until week 15's Super Bowl losers are 25% ATS as road favorites. Since 2003, they are 5-15 ATS. As -2.5 favorites or more they are 3-13…
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Bills Finally Beat the Patriots!
Did the Bills just beat the Patriots?? FINAL SCORE: BILLS 34 PATRIOTS 31 BUF | NE Boxscore Bills are now 3-0; the Patriots now drop to 2-1. The Buffalo Bills have not beat the Patriots in 8 years. In Week 17 of the 2003 season Buffalo revenged a 31-0 beat from the Pats that same year (in week 1) win a 31-0 beat of their own in…
