Betting Markets

  • |

    Why the Public Loses at Sports Betting (And How Markets Expose It)

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    Most people who bet on sports believe they are making rational decisions.In reality, they are reacting — to recent results, headlines, narratives, and discomfort. Sports betting markets don’t punish a lack of information.They punish emotional behavior. That’s why the public consistently loses over time — not because they’re unintelligent, but because they are predictably human. The Core Problem: Betting With Emotion, Not Process Public bettors tend to:…

  • |

    Price Sensitivity in Sports Betting: When a Small Line Move Kills the Edge

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    Not all betting edges are created equal. Some bets remain profitable even after the line moves. Others are destroyed by a half-point shift. Understanding price sensitivity — how fragile or durable a betting edge is — is one of the clearest separators between recreational bettors and professionals. This article explains how to identify price-sensitive lines, why some markets can’t tolerate movement, and how to avoid chasing dead…

  • |

    Why Market Timing Determines Whether Value Exists at All

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    Why Timing Is the Difference Between Value and Noise Most bettors think value is something you either find or don’t. In reality, value is often temporary. It appears at specific moments in the betting lifecycle — and disappears once the market adjusts. That’s why two bettors can make the same pick and get completely different long-term results. The difference isn’t prediction. It’s timing. Betting Early vs Betting…

  • |

    Public Bias & Market Distortion in Sports Betting

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    Why Betting Markets Aren’t Perfect Sports betting markets are efficient — but they are not neutral. Lines don’t move purely because of new information.They move because of money, and a large portion of that money is emotional, biased, and predictable. This is where public bias enters the equation — and where opportunity is created. 👉 What Sports Betting Systems Really Measure What Public Bias Really Means Public…

  • |

    What Sports Betting Systems Really Measure (And What They Don’t)

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    In sports betting, the word system has largely lost its meaning. It’s used to describe everything from statistical research to superstition, from market analysis to disguised opinions. That confusion benefits sellers — but it harms bettors. A real betting system does not predict outcomes.It does not guarantee wins.And it does not replace judgment. Instead, it measures something far more specific and far more useful: How betting markets…

  • |

    Steam Moves vs Fake Steam: How to Tell the Difference

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    If you’ve ever chased a line move and lost, you’ve already met fake steam. Not every sharp-looking move is sharp money — and confusing the two is one of the fastest ways to bleed bankroll. This article shows you how to tell the difference. What Is a Steam Move? A steam move is a sudden, aggressive line movement caused by: True steam moves are: When real steam…

  • |

    Key Numbers in Sports Betting: Why Half-Points Matter More Than You Think

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    Most bettors see a half-point and think it’s minor. Professional bettors know it can be the difference between: This is where key numbers come in — and why price matters more than opinion. What Are Key Numbers? Key numbers are point spreads that games land on more often than others due to scoring patterns. In football especially, certain margins occur far more frequently because of: Because of…

  • | |

    Market Timing in Sports Betting: When to Bet Early vs Late

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    Most bettors focus on what to bet. Very few know when to bet. But timing often determines whether you capture value or pay a premium. Bet too early, and you risk missing key information.Bet too late, and you may be chasing a worse number. Understanding market timing separates process-oriented bettors from reactionary ones. Why Market Timing Matters Sports betting markets are dynamic. Lines move because of: Your…

  • | |

    Closing Line Value (CLV) Explained: Why Beating the Market Matters More Than Winning Bets

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on
    Comments 6 Comments

    What Is Closing Line Value? Closing Line Value (CLV) measures whether the price you bet was better or worse than the final market price at kickoff or tip-off. If you consistently place bets at better numbers than the closing line, you are beating the market — regardless of short-term wins or losses. That’s why professional and quantitative bettors treat CLV as a process metric, not a results…

  • |

    Why Betting Percentages Lie (And What to Watch Instead)

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    Most bettors start their analysis the same way: “Which side has more bets?” At first glance, betting percentages feel like insider information. If 75% of bettors are on one team, that must mean something… right? In reality, betting percentages are one of the most misleading data points in sports betting — and relying on them blindly is one of the fastest ways to end up consistently on…

  • |

    Reverse Line Movement Explained: Why the Line Moves Against the Bets

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    If you’ve ever looked at betting percentages and thought, “How is the line moving the wrong way?” — congratulations. You’ve just noticed reverse line movement, one of the most misunderstood concepts in sports betting. Reverse line movement (RLM) is often where sharp bettors quietly reveal themselves, and understanding it can completely change how you read the board. Let’s break it down without the fluff. What Is Reverse…

  • |

    Sharp Money vs Public Betting: How to Spot the Difference

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    If you’ve been betting sports long enough, you’ve probably heard phrases like “fade the public” or “the sharps are on this side.” But what do those terms actually mean—and more importantly, how can you tell the difference before the game starts? Understanding the difference between sharp money and public betting is one of the biggest edges available to bettors who want to move beyond picks and start…

  • | |

    NFL Betting Systems That Exploit Public Overreaction

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    One of the most consistent inefficiencies in NFL betting markets has nothing to do with injuries, weather, or advanced analytics. It has everything to do with human psychology. Public bettors tend to overreact — to blowout wins, ugly losses, prime-time performances, and media-driven narratives. NFL betting systems that are built to exploit these reactions don’t predict games better than the market; they simply bet against emotional pricing…

  • Why Betting Systems Fail: Variance, Math, and False Confidence

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    Why Betting Systems Fail: Variance, Math, and False Confidence Betting systems don’t usually fail right away. They fail slowly, quietly, and convincingly — until the bankroll is gone. The reason isn’t bad luck. It’s misunderstanding how probability actually works. The Illusion of a “Winning System” Most betting systems: Early success creates belief that the system is proven — even when the math says otherwise. Short-term results lie….

  • |

    Flat Betting Strategy Explained: Why Professionals Avoid Progressions

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    Flat Betting Strategy Explained: Why Professionals Avoid Progressions While betting progression systems dominate forums and marketing pages, flat betting quietly remains the standard approach among professional sports bettors. It lacks excitement. It offers no illusion of loss recovery. And it doesn’t promise quick wins. What it does offer is bankroll survival, variance control, and the ability to let real betting edges compound over time. What Is Flat…

  • Fibonacci Betting System Explained: Strategy, Math & Real Risk

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    Fibonacci Betting System Explained: Strategy, Math & Real Risk The fibonacci betting system is a popular alternative to the martingale strategy, often promoted as a “safer” way to recover losses without doubling bets aggressively. Based on the famous Fibonacci number sequence, this system increases wager size after losses in a more gradual way — at least at first. While it sounds more controlled than martingale betting, the…

  • Martingale Betting System Explained: How It Works & Risks

    Byprocomputergambler Hours

    Martingale Betting System Explained: How It Works & Risks The martingale betting system is one of the oldest and most widely known betting strategies in gambling history. It promises a simple idea: recover all previous losses with a single win by increasing your wager after each loss. While the logic appears mathematically sound on the surface, the real-world risks of this system are often misunderstood. In this…

  • Bet Sizing & Money Management

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    Exercising good bet sizing and money management skills will help you win, as these fundamental aspects of gambling not only enhance your chances of success but also protect your bankroll over the long haul. By carefully evaluating the risks associated with each bet and adjusting the size of your wagers accordingly, you can maximize your profits while minimizing potential losses. This strategic approach requires a deep understanding…

  • Sports Betting Strategies

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    What is the best sports betting strategy? This comprehensive guide will help you understand various approaches and techniques that can significantly enhance your betting experience, allowing you to engage with the sports you love in a more rewarding way. By focusing on bankroll management, you can set clear and prudent limits on the amount of money you are willing to bet, ensuring that you don’t exceed your…

  • |

    Weekend Attendance in MLB Sports Betting

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    Up until about the end of July, you see Saturday and Sunday average per day attendance (since 2004) reach its highest level. It reflects the heightened interest and excitement surrounding the summer events and the growing popularity of mlb sports betting. This annual surge in numbers often leads to a festive atmosphere, with fans eagerly gathering to enjoy the games and create lasting memories with friends and…

  • |

    Sports Betting Systems and Trends | Free Pick!

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    Sports betting systems seem to prefer the NBA PACERS +2.0 today over the Miami Heat. Keep in mind, this free selection (“pick”) isn’t account for raw number projections. Consider the following actives for today and be sure to check out the PCG Raw Number sports betting systems to see if there is any conflict or agreement! Bet with confidence… Daily Sports Betting Systems and Trends: The Cavaliers are 14-0 ATS (12.36 ppg)…

  • 2-0 on Today’s MLB and NHL…

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    Hit the Big one on the Miami Dolphins +108 yesterday (they crushed the Titans 38-10!) – the runner up on Denver -4 is a bitter loss and it isn’t the first time Peyton Manning lost me a bet by a single point or half point. Is he so good that he is just going off of: it only takes 1 point to win or something? Ugh…I’m seeing a pattern…

  • | |

    The Bottom Line: Why MLB, NFL, and College Football Bet Differently

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    Every year I get the same question: “Do you run the same betting formula across MLB, NFL, and College Football?” The answer is absolutely not. Each sport behaves differently.Each market reacts differently.Each has its own version of momentum, regression, and public bias. If you treat them the same, you lose. Let’s break down the structural differences. ⚾ MLB: Controlled Regression & Situational Value Baseball is the most…

  • 2-0-1 +2.00% Yesterday

    Byprocomputergambler Hours

    Thursday, November 20 Game Score Status Pick Amount Kansas State 26 7:00 PM ET Kansas State +2.5 1.00 West Virginia 20    WINNER! Most of the public has been on W. Virginia so far pushing this line from PK -110 ; 2 and a half points to +2.5. It might go to +3 which would be really huge to get. Bet is on Thursday by the way….

  • Rise of Asian Handicap Betting: A Unique Approach to Sports Wagering

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    Friends, As the sports betting landscape continues to evolve, an intriguing trend has emerged. It is the rise of Asian Handicap betting. This unique approach offers a fresh perspective on wagering, particularly appealing to those looking for more balanced betting options. Download our free Asian handicap calculator here: https://procomputergambler.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/1rl-pl-AsianHandicap-Calculator.xls Asian Handicap betting eliminates the possibility of a draw, which can often be a frustrating outcome in traditional…

  • How to Win Betting on NFL Underdogs Early in the Season

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    Since 1986, this pattern has shown the importance of analyzing team performances early in the season, particularly when Betting on NFL Underdogs. Bettors can benefit from sportsbooks’ mistakes, as they often undervalue struggling teams’ chances to recover. It’s vital to keep an eye on team dynamics, including player injuries, coaching changes, and team chemistry; a star player’s injury can greatly impact betting odds. Understanding how a team’s…

  • 3-1-1 in NCAAF and Nailed our Top Play in NFL (2-0 week)

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    400: CFB: No Illinois Lost under 60 for 0.35 units 338: CFB: Kansas Push under 69 for 0.35 units 390: CFB: Mississippi St Winner! -8 for 0.45 units 368: CFB: UCLA Winner! +4* for 0.45 units 333: CFB: South Carolina Winner! +7 for 0.45 units NCAAFB System of the Week: xIn matchups between two plus .500 teams the road dog is 136-76-4 64.2% ATS against the home favorite…

  • 10/9 2022 MLB Raw Numbers Record 1264-995 +220.49 units!

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    MLB PCG RS Raw Numbers End 1264-995 +220.49 units! This impressive statistic showcases the success of our performance. It highlights a significant gain in units. This occurred over the course of the season. A solid win-loss record like this shows the effectiveness of our analytical strategies. These strategies are rooted in extensive research. They are also based on data analysis. It also indicates that informed decisions have…

  • 4-0 Sweep On Week 1 NCAAF Selections

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on
    Comments 4 Comments

    224: CFB: Texas San Antonio WINNER! 35-37+4½ for 0.30 units 227: CFB: Western Kentucky WINNER! 49-17-12.5 for 0.30 units196: CFB: Wyoming WINNER!  40-37+7* NCAAFB System of the Week: In database history, fading road teams averaging a poor 7 or more point deficit at the half after a high scoring (60+ total pts) game yields a SU: 476-356-0 (2.94, 57.2%) and ATS: 463-346-14 (1.47, 57.2%) record for the…

  • The Coveted .500 Mark Sports Betting System for MLB

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on
    Comments 1 Comment

    Here is a powerful MLB sports betting system active for 6/1/2017. The barometer for any team in any sport that is below .500 is to reach for the bar, and get to the coveted .500 mark. It changes mindsets and the feelings of the players and coaches of a team. Going from a losing team to one that no longer is makes for a better atmosphere around…

  • MLB Sports Betting System for 5/26/2017

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    The NBA playoffs have taken a front seat for the past 6 weeks or so, but with a long layoff before the finals, it is back to MLB. Today in we will look at a strong MLB ‘fade’ sports betting system. This situation calls for playing against the road dog. A road dog off a close win. The twist is, when they are facing an opponent, whose…

  • | |

    Top MLB Sports Betting System

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    I haven’t done this in a while. Today, I am reviewing over a year of performance a top mlb sports betting system and trends. I included these in my relatively new Trend Mart product. You guys get this from my partners and me for a member discounted amount with your PCG subscription. TOP PERFORMING MLB SPORTS BETTING SYSTEM REPORT: The ‘PCG Trend Mart’ Results are as follows:Some trends…

  • Response to Reader: MLB ‘Handles’ Betting System

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    Originally Posted by royboymiami: Hey Herb Quick Question After watching the ARZ game where the underdog +100 won SU and the underhit -8.5 I saw the same exact line for Col v Marlins and I took Colorado +100 and under 8.5 BOTH HIT Do you ever see underdog lines that are simialr and have the same results at the end of games… I was surprised both underdogs…

  • |

    Top Daily Betting Systems for Weds: Utah Jazz

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    In the News: Government ‘needs to use law to tighten loopholes’ on live betting Tabcorp chief David Attenborough said the current review of gambling laws should not stop the government immediately declaring online in-play betting systems operated by several major bookmakers illegal. “It really isn’t difficult, they just have to … Daily Top NBA Betting Systems and Trends: The Pistons are 0-13 ATS (-7.31 ppg) with at…

  • The Bottom Line Of Sports Betting

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    The bottom line in sports betting is not complicated. If you want to win, you will have to really work at it. Here are some insights into taking edges: * Never bet on impulse. How many times during the year does a bettor quickly scan a betting line, call his bookmaker and get into action? It is impossible to be successful by studying for 45 seconds and…

  • A Guide To Passing

    Byprocomputergambler Hours Hours Updated on

    I’m going to keep this article concise. In my time advising sports bets to my readers at 9AM-12noon I’ve learned a few things: 1. This is usually too early to make a call. 2. Better to place your bet later in the day after you’ve considered a much greater deal of information. Note: It has been my policy for over 5 years to release bets before Noon…

  • How To Keep A Clear Head While Betting

    Byprocomputergambler Hours

    There is no greater challenge facing those who handicap basketball, or any other sport, than that of keeping a clear mind when everything is going wrong and the winners are few and far between. The most talented of handicappers can bite the dust in this psychological battle, where knowledge and know-how can be reduced to mental rubble. One bookmaker said he knows average bettors will lose 10…

  • Another Sweep!

    Byprocomputergambler Hours

    MLB DAILY RAW NUMBERS Game Score Status Pick Amount San Diego 1 3:40 PM ET Under 7.5 1.00 Seattle 6 Baltimore 7 7:10 PM ET Baltimore +103 1.00 Tampa Bay 5 *Raw number totals are now 74-36 +36.2 units this season* **The Rays are just 6-17 SU (-15.76 units, +58.8% roi to fade) this season after 2+ straight games with 0 errors. *Something I like about that trend is…

End of content

End of content