CBB RAW NUMBERS
| Game |
Score |
Status |
Pick |
Amount |
| Cornell |
51 |
7:00 PM ET |
Cornell +10 |
1.00 |
| Yale |
62 |
|
One point loss |
|
Since 2006, bad offenses (ppg < 1 stdev from median) are 455-298-14 (60.4%) ATS as big, undervalued road dogs.
PENNSYLVANIA +15.5 and COLUMBIA -1 both come very close.
I might put down a little on the side with these later depending on how lines move…
Cornell is mostly a technical play, but my two cents is that the line is too high….linesmakers know how the public would react to a 21 points loss….but it was on the road and Courtney (head coach of Cornell) is in a “spot” here now.
A couple of areas that I could see Yale struggling or slacking with will be in their rebounding ability and their ability to create turnovers / takeaways against Cornell thus leading to a closer game than 10 points. Sprinkle in a little predicted motivation that Cornell might have….we’re buying at a valued low here and selling off high. Similar things with Penn and Columbia…
NHL RAW NUMBERS
| Game |
Score |
Status |
Pick |
Amount |
| Colorado (W) |
4 |
8:30 PM ET |
Colorado +205 |
1.00 |
| Chicago |
1 |
|
WINNER! |
|
Balls to the wall. +205 on Colorado.
32% implied odds of this bet winning by
Vegas and raw numbers say it is better than
+50% chance that ‘Rado takes the cake.
That’s a hell of an edge…
*NHL Raw Numbers (Basics) are 135-70 +38.62 Units*
In Database history, non weekend road dogs are 262-251 +115.27 units SU in Feb.
This system is up +10.07 units this season.
NBA RAW NUMBERS
| Game |
Score |
Status |
Pick |
Amount |
| Chicago |
91 |
7:30 PM ET |
Detroit +6 |
1.00 |
| Detroit (W) |
100 |
|
WINNER! |
|
| Cleveland (W) |
127 |
8:00 PM ET |
Cleveland -3 |
1.00 |
| Washington |
89 |
|
WINNER! |
|
| Brooklyn (W) |
114 |
10:30 PM |
Brooklyn -3 |
1.00 |
| L.A. Lakers |
105 |
|
WINNER! |
|
Since 1995, very well rested teams off of a home loss are 150-103 (59.3%, plus over 55 units) SU and 149-100-4 ATS.
+
Since 2003, team between +2 and -13.5 points (small dogs or favs) that last played on the road are 43-16 ATS in the first game after all star break.
+
Since 2009, teams that just lost in an upset as a favorite to a divisional opponent are 127-73-6 (63.5%) ATS and 146-60 (70.9%) SU when facing a team seeking revenge for a loss in their previous matchup.
+
Raw numbers on the three.
Best of luck guys,
PCG
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