NCAAF Trends

#001 Fading double digit favorites off of 10 or more straight wins since 2008 has produced a 143-86-7 ATS record (62.4%). -Baylor is 7-1 in their last 8 games at Kansas. Kansas is 6-1 in their last 7 games in the above situation.

#002 Since 2008, Road Favorites off of three or more straight ATS covers are 126-36 SU (+12.69 ppg) and 99-59-4 ATS (62.7%). That’s 36-9 (80%) ATS and 42-3 (+25.71 ppg) SU for 13 points or more. 

#003 Since 2008, Road teams off of 3+ straight wins by 21+ points are 54-12 (+14.36 ppg, +81.8%) SU (44-20 ATS).

#004 Play on New Head Coaches at BCS schools vs. an 1AA team using the new lines for these matchups. 

#005 First year BCS Conference Head Coaches without any head coaching experience crush 1AA opponents by an average of 24.7 points. Since 2006 (the inception of these lines), these teams are 10-4 ATS.“

#006 In database history, fading road teams averaging a poor 7 or more point deficit at the half after a high scoring (60+ total pts) game yields a SU: 476-356-0 (2.94, 57.2%) and ATS: 463-346-14 (1.47, 57.2%) record for the home team. Profitable on both the moneyline and pointspread. Play on West Kentucky
#007 Home dogs that finished above .500 last season now between +5 and +9.5 before week 6 are 62-21-0 (75%) ATS. Play on Wyoming Small play or pass on Wyoming. We don’t have very good raw number support but this is a good system. In addition to analyzing statistical trends, examining historical betting systems in sports can provide insights into team performance under specific conditions. By understanding how different strategies have fared over time, bettors can make more informed decisions based on past outcomes. Incorporating this knowledge alongside current data can enhance overall betting strategies leading to more profitable results.

#008 Fading a 3-10 pt. Road Favorite 2. It is early season (pre-week 6) 3. Team we are fading finished last season with 5+ straight wins This is 181-120-2 (60.1%) ATS
Play on Florida and UTSA.

#009 A road team off of 3+ straight wins playing on a Saturday is 63-31-1 ATS if they played their last game on the road.

#010 A team that just lost as a dog but got at least 22 first downs chokes are 161-275-8 ATS (36.9%) vs. a team off of a win in which they score 17+ points.

#011 A road team off of 3+ straight wins playing on a Saturday is 63-31-1 ATS if they played their last game on the road.

#012 Since 2010, Sub .250 terrible home dogs facing a plus .500 team are an unbelievably horrible 18-187-0 (-20.48 ppg, 8.8%) SU. That’s 130-72-3 (64.4%) ATS to fade. So simple and ’nuff said.

#013 Since 2008, Home 1-A Teams with high powered offenses in the previous season (>=31 ppg) are 32-4 (88.9%, +34.01 units) SU in non-conference games facing other 1-A teams.

#014 Since 1989, a team that just lost as an underdog that got 22 or more first downs chokes at 214-312-8 59.3% ATS against a team off of a loss.

#015 A team that just lost as a dog but got at least 22 first downs chokes are 161-275-8 ATS (36.9%) vs. a team off of a win in which they score 17+ points.
 
#016 A double digit favorite off of a game with over 300 rushing yards yields an O/U of 223-344-15 (-2.44, 39.3%) – opp. put up more that 45 rushing yards last game; team is off of 6 or more days rest.

#017 The Under is 74-36-1 67.3% after a team put up >40 pass and <210 passing yards.
 
#018 The O/U is 140-233-8 (-2.61, 37.5%) when a team is off of a game as a favoring in which they had between 22 and 36 minutes of possession; total>40 and team off of 6 or more days rest.

#019 A double digit favorite off of a game with over 300 rushing yards yields an O/U of 223-344-15 (-2.44, 39.3%) – opp. put up more that 45 rushing yards last game; team is off of 6 or more days rest.

NFL Coaching Trends

NCAAF COACHING TRENDS