MLB Team Trends

Exploring the Latest MLB Team Trends

Analyzing Major League Baseball (MLB) team trends provides vital insights into performances, player statistics, and overall league dynamics. As we delve into this season’s trends, observe the emerging patterns that could influence future games and player strategies.

---

Comprehensive Team Trends

Here’s a detailed breakdown of notable MLB team trends, including their statistical performance and significance:

1. Oakland Athletics

• Record: 25-5-0
• Avg Total: 7.9
• ROI: +59.9%
• Insight: The Athletics have gone OVER the total at a rate of 83.3% in games lined between 6.5 and 9. They are also 20-3-0 (3.02, 87.0%) OVER against teams that strike out 7+ times a game.

2. Philadelphia Phillies

• Record: 33-9-1
• Runs Per Game: 2.3 rpg
• ROI: +47.8%
• Insight: This season, the Phillies are 33-9-1 OVER the total with 9 or fewer runs against plus .500 opponents.

3. Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals)

• Record: 10-1-0
• ERA: 3.00
• Success Rate: 90.9%
• Insight: Strasburg is 10-1-0 OVER since 2012 after a game in which he allowed 1 or fewer earned runs.

4. Minnesota Twins

• Record: 19-5
• Runs Per Game: +1.71
• ROI: +73.6%
• Insight: The Twins are 19-5 SU after averaging under 7.9 hits per game in their last 10.

5. St. Louis Cardinals

• Record: 21-3
• Winning Percentage: 87.5%
• Insight: The Cardinals are 21-3 after games where they scored 2 runs or fewer.

6. Seattle Mariners

• Record: 27-9
• Success Rate: 75.0%
• Insight: Since 2012, they are 27-9 SU after losing two or more of their last 8 games.

7. Texas Rangers

• Record: 11-24
• Performance: They are struggling with a -1.1 runs per game after games with strong defensive showings.

8. Houston Astros

• Record: 31-15
• ROI: +41.1%
• Insight: Since 2010, they have been 31-15 at home vs. left-handers in any game other than the last game of a series.

9. Baltimore Orioles

• Record against Plus .500 Teams: 53-41
• ROI: +25.6%
• Insight: This season, they are 14-3 after a loss by 3 runs or more.

10. Kansas City Royals

• Record: 14-2
• Performance: After upsetting a division rival as >+116 dogs, the Royals are 11-1 (+2.42 rpg, 91.7%, +12.62 units, +98.8% ROI) for +130 and up!

11. Oakland Athletics

• Record: 14-2 this Month
• Insight: Since July 1st, 2012, the Athletics are 14-2 (+1.31 rpg, 87.5%, +14.04 units).

12. Philadelphia Phillies

• Record: 3-19
• Insight: The Phillies have gone -2.6 rpg, -21.02 units, +83.6% ROI fade after a close (1 or 2 run) loss.

13. Boston Red Sox

• Record: 10-23
• Performance as Favorites: -0.85 rpg, 30.3%, -28.47 units, +78.3% ROI to fade as -150 to -200 home favorites.

14. Houston Astros

• Record: 31-15
• Performance Against Left-Handed Pitchers: They show strengths at home not counting the last game of a series.

15. Baltimore Orioles

• Record: 20-4
• Performance After a Loss: The Orioles are +1.96 rpg, 83.3%, +17.22 units, +63.2% ROI this season after a loss by 3 runs or more.

16. San Diego Padres

• Record: 0-13
• Insight: They are -3.7 rpg, -13.4 units, -100% ROI after allowing 3 runs or less in two straight games.

17. Colorado Rockies

• Record: 11-4-0
• Performance Over the Total: The Rockies are +4.2 rpg, +6.5 units, +36.3% ROI at home after a game where the bullpen didn’t allow any runs.

18. New York Mets

• Record: 22-45
• Performance Post Defensively Strong Games: -28.69 units at home after allowing 4 runs or less.

19. Pittsburgh Pirates

• Record: 50-28
• Performance After Scoring 2 Runs or Fewer: They are 64.1%, note this trend when betting against them.

20. Oakland Athletics

• Record: 16-3
• Performance After July 1st: They are a solid 68-50 (+29.27 units, +23.2% ROI) since 2012 after playing tough plus .500 teams.

21. New York Mets

• Record: 6-24
• Weakness as Favorites: Under Terry Collins at home off of six or more straight road games. That’s 1-14 as favorites.

22. Baltimore Orioles

• Record against Plus .500 Teams: 53-41, +25.6% ROI; they are additionally 14-3 (+2.19 rpg, 87.5%, +15.43 units SU) after upsetting a division rival as >+116 dogs.

23. Texas Rangers

• Record: 11-24
• Performance After Competitive Defensive Games: 11-24 with -1.1 rpg indicates the struggle.

24. Chicago White Sox

• Record: 0-13 OU
• Current Performance Decline: In the last game of a home series vs lefties after facing three straight righties.

25. Tampa Bay Rays

• Record: 6-17 SU
• Current Performance Declines: After 2+ straight games with 0 errors this season.

26. New York Yankees

• Historic Trends: Increasing difficulties against division rivals indicate underlying performance issues.

27. Pittsburgh Pirates

• Record: 38-25
• Performance On The Road: They have been strong since May 17, 2015.

28. Cincinnati Reds

• Record: 3-12
• Performance After Low Scoring Games: On the road after scoring one or zero runs last game.

29. Milwaukee Brewers

• Record: 16-35
• Performance After Rough Stretch: After losing 5 or more of their last 7 games.

30. Arizona Diamondbacks

• Record: 12-0
• Current Performance Trends: As a road dog of more than 135 vs. a team with a worse record.

31. Minnesota Twins

• Record: 15-0
• Performance After Allowing 6+ Runs: On the road after that game but not as a dog of more than 120.

32. Boston Red Sox

• Historic Patterns: Since 2010, the Red Sox have been overvalued (avg -142 line) when going for revenge as a home favorite, going just 39-54 (-35.11 units).

33. New York Mets

• Record: 0-18 Runline
• Current Head Winds: As a home favorite when the opposing starter has an ERA of higher than 3.7 on the season.

34. Washington Nationals

• Record: 0-15 OU
• Current Trends: On the road off a road game when seeking same season revenge vs. their opponent’s starting pitcher.

35. Houston Astros

• Record: 0-10 Runline
• Performance Issues: As a favorite when they scored 2 or fewer runs for their starter in his last start.

36. Los Angeles Dodgers

• Record: 39-8
• Performance as Home Favorites: They have maintained a strong +2.00 rpg, 83%, +29.62 units, +48.5% ROI since the 22nd of June!

37. Colorado Rockies

• Record: 20-4-1
• Performance Against Strong Pitchers: They are +55.7% ROI, 83.3% over the total this season against pitchers with WHIPs of 1.15 or less.

38. Mariners

• Record: 15-0
• Recent Success: As a 130+ favorite when the opponent’s starter has an ERA of higher than 3.85 on the season.

39. Toronto Blue Jays

• Record: 10-0 OU
• Winning Without Walks: After a win in which they did not walk the opponent.

40. Texas Rangers

• Record: 0-13 OU
• Current Weakness: After a road game in which they struck out at least ten times and it is not the first game of a series.

41. Washington Nationals

• Record: 0-15 OU
• Current Disposition: On the road off a road game when seeking same season revenge against their opponent’s starting pitcher.

42. New York Mets

• Record: 0-18 Runline
• Current Weaknesses: As a home favorite when the opponent’s starting pitcher has an ERA of higher than 3.7 on the season.

43. Boston Red Sox

• Record: 142-73
• Home Favorites on Saturday or Sunday: Since 2004, as home favorites. They are also 28-12 (70%) off a loss as favorites now playing as home favorites on Saturday.

44. Texas Rangers

• Record: 66-19
• Post Loss Resilience: Since 2010, they rebound strongly in fresh series games 1 or 2 after a loss!

45. Philadelphia Phillies

• Record: 17-0
• As Home Favorites: Off a road game where they scored in at least four separate innings.

46. St. Louis Cardinals

• Record: 0-14 Runline
• Current Patterns: -15.4 units as a 130+ favorite in the first game of a home series after striking out their opponent at least ten times.

47. Pittsburgh Pirates

• Record: 38-25
• On the Road: Since May 17, 2015, this indicates their continuing competitive edge.

48. Teams overall

• Record: 22-18
• Trends as Road Dog: Since August 16, 2015, after a loss as a favorite.

49. Detroit Tigers

• Record: 74-72
• Home Performance: After a game as a favorite, consistent troubles arise.

50. Baltimore Orioles

• Record: 188-147
• Following Games as a Dog: Since August 22, 2011.

51. Los Angeles Dodgers

• Record: 39-8
• Strong Performance on Home Grounds: Since the 22nd of June!

52. Chicago White Sox

• Record: 39-66
• Home Games Against Plus .500 Teams: Indicate ongoing difficulties.

#053 The Cubs are 4-14 since May 15, 2016 at home

#054 The Red Sox are 103-73-8 since Jun 11, 2015

#055 The Pirates are 100-73-5 since Jun 21, 2015

#056 The Angels are 5-14 since May 24, 2016 on the road. The Angels are 64-87 since Jul 23, 2015

#057 The Giants are 22-11 since Apr 22, 2016 at home

#058 The Tigers are 29-18 since May 15, 2016.

#059 The A’s are again a qualifying raw number play. Stronger now off of a loss. **Since 2012, The A’s are 15-3 (+14.65 units, +73.4% roi) SU off of 3 or more straight losses to the same opponent.

#060 The Texas Rangers are just 80-73 (+13.08 units to fade) SU since 2012 off of a loss. That’s ***This is a huge let down spot for the Rangers. Since 2012, they’ve gone 16-29 (35.6%, -24.52 units, +45.2% roi to fade) SU after going three or more straight games without any errors. 

#061 The A’s are a solid 68-50 (+29.27 units, +23.2% roi) SU since 2012 after April’s facing tough plus .500 teams.

#062 The Tampa Bay Rays are just 52-73 (41.6%) SU since 2006 with a day of rest or a day off.

#063 The Dodgers have found their groove: they’re now 26-7 (78.8%, +17.44 units, +41.6% roi) since July this season.

#064 Boston is just 69-90 (43.4%, +21.65 units to fade) SU since 2012 against plus .500 teams.

#065 KC is 70-73 (+17.67 units, +12% roi) SU since 2012 against plus .500 teams.

#066 The Pirates are 70-44 (61.4%, +29.01 units, +21% roi) SU this season. Enough said there. **That’s 35-10 (+1.67 rpg, 77.8%, +27.02 units, +47.5% roi) SU against bad teams under .460 .

#067 Since 2013, the Seattle Mariners are a nasty 13-24 (35.1%, -22.39 units, +53.9% roi to fade) SU as home favorites between -125 and -175.

#068 The A’s are 34-13 (72.3%, +21.54 units, +37.8% roi) SU since 2012 in July games.

#069 The Blue Jays are now just 3-14 (17.6%, +50.1% roi to fade) SU in the last month against plus .500 teams.

#070 The LA Angels are just 9-19 (32.1%, +15.17 units to fade [+49.4% roi]) SU this season in division games off of a loss. *They’re also just 32-43 (42.7%, +18.71 units to fade [+23% roi]) SU this season in night games.

#071 The San Diego Padres are 12-4 (+1.25 rpg, 75%, +53.1% roi) SU this season at home against .530 to .600 teams.

#072 The Reds are just 3-12 (-1.67 rpg, 20%, +59.4% roi to fade) SU this season on the road after scoring one or zero runs last game.

#073 Since 2013, the Seattle Mariners are 56-29 +23.92 units, +20.7% roi on the Runline on the road off of a win.

#074 The Cardinals are 335-201 +77.78 units since Apr 07, 2004 after a loss as a favorite

#075 The Twins are 15-0 RL on the road after a road game in which they allowed 6+ runs and they are not a dog of more than 120.

#076 The Diamondbacks are 12-0 RL as a road dog of more than 135 vs a team that has a worse record.

#077 The Astros are 0-10 RL SU as a favorite when they scored two or fewer runs for their starter in his last start.

#078 Buck Showalter is 391-356 +84.27 units with the Baltimore Orioles as dogs or home favorites where the total is between 7 and 10. 

#079 Since 2012, the Detroit Tigers are just 17-34 (33.3%, +20.32 units to fade) on the road as -140 or cheaper favorites.

#080 2010, the Texas Rangers are 103-52 (66.5%, +37.97 units) off of a loss. **They’re 19-3 (+2.68 rpg, 86.4%, +49.2% roi) in game 2 or 3 (so against same opponent) after putting up 1 or ZERO runs since 2011. 6-1 at home.

#081 The A’s are 57-26 (68.7%, +32.69 units, +32.6% roi) SU since 2012 after winning 4 or 5 of their last 5 games. **That is 31-8 (79.5%, +40.5% roi) SU against sub .500 teams. ***10-6 RL (+46.5% roi) and 12-4 SU as home favorites.

#082 The Blue Jays are just 3-13 (18.8%, +49.2% roi to fade) SU now this month against plus .500 teams.

#083 Since July this season, the Orioles are running hot, going 23-10 (69.7%, +15.9 units, +43.1% roi) SU. *They’re also a massive 21-2 (+2 rpg, 77.8%, +17.87 units, +61.5% roi) SU this season vs. teams between .500 and .560.

#084 Buck Showalter is 420-412 +64.69 units with the Baltimore Orioles. Since he’s gotten on as head coach, they’ve been an incredible team to bet on and one we should stay away from betting against for now.

#085 Since 2013, the Diamondbacks are just 99-148 40.1%, -59.49 units off of 3+ wins in their last 6 games. Total from 7 to 9 runs. 

#086 Since 2013, the Milwaukee Brewers are 16-35 -24.76 units SU after losing 5 or more of their last 7 games.

#087 Under Ned Yost, the Royals have been profitable against tough plus .500 opponents at 214-225 +36.49 units. 

#088 Since 2004, the White Sox have killed the Mariners 52-27 (65.8%) +19.89 units head-to-head. That’s a massive 24-5 (82.8%) +18.19 units since 2010.

#089 The Reds are 83-28 +41.61 units since Oct 03, 2009 as a home favorite after a loss as a favorite

#090 FILTER: The OVER is 46-25-1 +18.7 units when Clint Hurdle and the Pirates are on the road and won last game by 1 or 2 runs. Total>6.5
#091 The OVER is 36-18-3 +16.5 units when Walt Weiss and the Rockies just allowed over 7 runs last game. ***This is 93-61-0 +25.18 +14.6% roi OU when the total is 10.5!

#092 The OVER is 44-18-6 +25.05 units since 2014 when the Dodgers are home favorites of 110 or more. Total set over 6 runs.

How This Fits Into the Market

• How Sports Betting Markets Work
• Public Bias And Market Distortion in Sports Betting
• Historical Sports Betting Systems Research

Process & Proof

• Historical Betting Results
• ProcomputerGambler Raw Numbers Dashboard